But who makes the list?
Most banter over a beer would reel off a couple of names straight away… Kennedy, Franklin, Gunston….
But lets look at the stats… And importantly, which stats to look at?
2015 – Top Goal Kickers
Obviously a quick glance at the last years top goal kickers gives an indication:
1 Joshua Kennedy (West Coast) 80
2 Eddie Betts (Adelaide) 63
2 Jeremy Cameron (GWS) 63
4 Taylor Walker (Adelaide) 59
5 Jack Gunston (Hawthorn) 57
No Franklin for well known reasons but still I would have in my Top 5 Forwards for Round One… Wouldn’t you????
2015 – Top Averages
Maybe a better indication would be to look at an average, as the top goal kickers includes players who went further into the competition… Kennedy played in the Grand Final, but Cameron only played up until Round 23…
Lets have a look at that….
1 Joshua Kennedy West Coast 3.20
2 Jeremy Cameron GWS 2.86
3 Lance Franklin Sydney 2.76
4 Eddie Betts Adelaide 2.74
5 Taylor Walker Adelaide 2.57
Kennedy still there ! As you’d expect a few similar names but a couple of new entrants to our Top 5 all of a sudden….
However, this still only gives you an average…. It doesn’t account for the other possible factors that really cam influence a score, such as:
1 – Opposition in Round One… A major factor of course ! For example consider these….
Geelong play Hawthorn so Gunston from our initial list may be scratched???
Adelaide are away to North… Betts and Taylor scratched??? Or keep one…
GWS play Melbourne and West Coast host Brisbane… Cameron and Kennedy are definite starters for sure. So we have two of five….
2 – Slow starter… Players can be really slow to start the season but give them a few games to warm up and watch their numbers fly. A Round 5 Top Forward may never make your Round One Top 5!
3 – One off performance (or inconsistent performance…. such as one Travis Cloke
4 – Pre-season form and any injuries. The latter is a major blight of any Fantasy Coach and a worry for this question…
5 – A newbie or rank outsider… Who knows who will come good this year!! And will they perform on Game Day One !!
So how easy is it after all…. we have left many out in our discussions above who could be included and the question remains … who’s your Top 5 Forwards for Round One?